Identification and mitigation of the Flash flood hazards using Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) technique and GIS Spatial, Case study: Wadi Ked, South Sinai.
Abdelhaleem, F.S., Ibrahim, A.S., Al Zayed, I.S.,
Flash floods represent one of the most destructive natural hazards in arid and semi-arid regions, leading to severe infrastructure damage, economic losses, and environmental degradation. This study assesses flash flood susceptibility and mitigation in Wadi Ked, South Sinai, Egypt, using an integrated framework combining Geographic Information Systems (GIS), Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), and the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Eleven conditioning factors were analyzed, including elevation, slope, rainfall, drainage density, land use, soil type, topographic wetness index, curvature, and distances to streams and roads. Results show that the runoff volume of Wadi Ked for a return period of 100 years, 68.14% of the area falls within moderate to very high susceptibility, while 31.86% is classified as low susceptibility. Model validation revealed strong agreement (90%) between literature- and expert-derived weights, with a Kappa coefficient of 0.86, confirming model reliability. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated robustness of the weighting scheme. Hydrological simulation recommended two main storage dams with capacities of 31.72 Mm³ and 12.96 Mm³, reducing peak discharge from 1767.9 m³/s to 33.7 m³/s. A retention basin of 0.74 Mm³ was also proposed for temporary storage, groundwater recharge, and controlled release. Post-mitigation mapping reduction in hazard, with 77% classified as very low susceptibility, 22.53% as low, 0.47% as moderate, highlighting the effectiveness of measures. Although geomorphological constraints limit upstream check dam implementation, distributed mitigation can further reduce runoff impacts. Overall, the study provides a reliable, data-driven framework for flood susceptibility mapping and mitigation planning in arid environments for decision-making.
analytical hierarchy approach | dams | flash flood | GIS | multi-criteria decision-making | Wadi ked
Benha
Egypt
